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General : Recession time
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 Message 1 of 23 in Discussion 
From: Yaela  (Original Message)Sent: 11/15/2008 5:02 PM
 The economical crisis in America effects the whole world which starts suffering from recession and i read more and more commentaries that say Bush should have tried to deal with it when the first signs started to show and not when it was too late and the public lost its confidence in the administration.
 
Do you think Bush woke up too late to deal with the problem, and what do you think can or can't Obama do to make things better?? 


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 Message 9 of 23 in Discussion 
From: MSN NicknameClicker-Sent: 11/15/2008 10:41 PM
Hayekian,

I meant centrist relative to other politicians in congress. Of course he is a leftist, big government politician. It would take an incredible person of unparallelled skill to get elected to the US presidency who was a small government proponent.

I have hopes that we will prosper for a while longer, because I believe that he is a good person, a pragmatist, and a decisive leader, and has a depth of intellect from which to draw from, and is willing to study and use history. However, I agree with you that the theories by which he governs are not likely to be beneficial in the long run.

The modern US federal government is far too powerful to survive a malevalent president. So we are only in business as long as we can keep psychopaths out of power.

I have a liberal heart, and a libertarian-leaning mind, I believe that our country is going down the wrong path. However, I am glad to see the country in the stewardship of a leader who I think will be good for our country for the next 4 years.

You said yourself that democrats are going to expiriment with their liberal ways in the next four years. This is the man who I would trust more than anybody else to implement as good as possible version of the liberal vision, so we can get the government that we deserve, in your own words.

We had a choice between having the worst of the conservatives (war, nation building, and bluster), with skipping the parts that are good about conservatives ( small government, liberty ).... and having the best of the liberals. I believe we got the best of the liberals, and I am optimistic that we will see improvements.

But who knows, maybe you are right, and he will accelerate our road to serfdom. I still think a zig and a zag is in order lest we plummet head first into world war III.

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 Message 10 of 23 in Discussion 
From: MSN NicknameKnightly-Sent: 11/15/2008 11:59 PM
the usa has been going through boom and bust cycles for centuries.  so nothing new here.  i said a year or two ago that the next downturn could occur in 2008.  i was right.
 
two schools of thought as to why the usa goes through this cycle.  one is a natural byproduct of capitialism.  factories produce durable goods.  people buy them.  the factory maybe able to produce more goods than people who have enough money to consume them will do so.  the second school thinks that booms end because the elite don't want to destroy the dollar.  allowing booms to run wild for two long a time will result in hyperinflation.  china tends to try and cool down economic swings.  they have had experience with hyperinflation when they invented paper.
 
both views have merit.  stangnation is the  normal economic state.  it takes a stimulus to have an upturn.  but all stimulus seem to have a limited life span.  when it ends,  there will be a downturn until the economy reaches its normal state.  the usa just came off another boom.  all booms end and usually resilt an economic contraction.  can't have a boom without a market correction.

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 Message 11 of 23 in Discussion 
From: MSN Nickname_Driver_7Sent: 11/16/2008 12:06 AM
You left out the other school of thought.....
 
Idiots like Carter and Clinton putting pressure on lending institutions to make bad loans to  unqualified dead-beats they knew couldn't meet their debts, then buying-up those bad debts, and other idiots like Barney Frank running around telling everyone the Fannie & Freddie were financially sound right before the collapse....
 
John McCain mentioned this would happen almost three years ago, but no one paid any attentrion.

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 Message 12 of 23 in Discussion 
From: MSN NicknameKnightly-Sent: 11/16/2008 1:34 AM
what carter and clinton did was to fight against redlining.  redlining is racist.  the idea is to deny blacks and hispanics credit so that they wouldn't compete against whites.  the government can't make any company stay in business when they are losing money.

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 Message 13 of 23 in Discussion 
From: MSN NicknameKnightly-Sent: 11/16/2008 1:38 AM
Contemporary issues

Dan Immergluck writes that in 2002 small businesses in black neighborhoods still received fewer loans, even after accounting for business density, business size, industrial mix, neighborhood income, and the credit quality of local businesses.[15] Gregory D. Squires wrote in 2003 that it is clear that race has long affected and continues to affect the policies and practices of the insurance industry.[16] Workers living in American inner cities have a harder time finding jobs than suburban workers.[17] Redlining has helped preserve segregated living patterns for blacks and whites in the United States, because discrimination motivated by prejudice is often contingent on the racial composition of neighborhoods where the loan is sought and the race of the applicant. Lending institutions have been shown to treat black mortgage applicants differently when they are buying homes in white neighborhoods than when buying homes in black neighborhoods. [18]

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Redlining


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 Message 14 of 23 in Discussion 
From: MSN Nickname_Driver_7Sent: 11/16/2008 2:22 AM
 the government can't make any company stay in business when they are losing money.
 
 
So, what are all those BILLIONS of $$$$ in government bail-outs all about?
 
I needn't resort to name-calling anymore.....
 
You are what you ARE, Knightly.

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 Message 15 of 23 in Discussion 
From: MSN NicknameKnightly-Sent: 11/16/2008 5:01 AM
what!?  it is the corps that bribed the politicians so they would make the bailout happen.   this was all plan ahead of time by the way.  it is a repeat of the saving and loans bail out that happen in the 1980.  the same thing in both times.  biger bank corps bought out smaller bank corps.

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 Message 16 of 23 in Discussion 
From: MSN NicknameClearestWilhelmSent: 11/16/2008 10:53 AM
the government can't make any company stay in business when they are losing money.
Itwould be more accurate to say
the government can't make any company stay in business when they keep on losing money.
Not  the same thing.

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 Message 17 of 23 in Discussion 
From: harrietb98Sent: 11/16/2008 10:36 PM
Driver, he will have to do that.  We spent too much time with the philosophy of Tax cuts for the rich and budget cuts for the poor.  That is why we are in this mess, in the first place.
 
So, at least in the begining, we have to do it this way.

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 Message 18 of 23 in Discussion 
From: harrietb98Sent: 11/16/2008 10:36 PM
We have representation.

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 Message 19 of 23 in Discussion 
From: MSN Nickname_Driver_7Sent: 11/16/2008 10:48 PM
No government has ever taxed it's way to prosperity.
 Increasing taxes on the entities that create jobs, and promising tax cuts to people who already pay little to no taxes, only makes sense to someone who is ignorant of the basics of economics. President Reagan inherited the worst economy since the Great Depression from Jimmy Carter, who did EXACTELY what Obama is preposing to do. Reagan implemented drastic tax cuts and created the longest period of peace-time economic growth in US history.
Anyone with half a brain knows how to fix the problems because we've had these problems and fixed them before.  The only thing Obama is using his half a brain on is spreading propaganda and out-right lying to people attempting to make them believe that proven failed policies will now somehow work.

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 Message 20 of 23 in Discussion 
From: MSN NicknameKyKarenSueSent: 11/16/2008 11:20 PM
No government has ever taxed it's way to prosperity.
 
Nope, but we certainly asked for sacrifice from our citizens, which we sure don't do now.....what a bunch of wimps we have become.
 

A 5% Victory tax was placed on all incomes. And tax rates in general were increased. The tax rate on the highest income bracket was an eye popping 94% in 1945.

http://artofmanliness.com/2008/03/25/what-happened-to-wartime-sacrifice/

 


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 Message 21 of 23 in Discussion 
From: MSN Nickname_Driver_7Sent: 11/16/2008 11:38 PM
There is nothing "whimpy" about reducing government and lowering taxes to improve the economy. Nothing "whimpy" aboat drawing the line on a stupid 'stealing from the rich and give it to deadbeats' scheme.
 In a way I suppose we have become "whimps" by allowing the government to become the "money-pit" that it is.

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 Message 22 of 23 in Discussion 
From: MSN NicknameClearestWilhelmSent: 11/16/2008 11:59 PM
#20
So some people on this board want to raise defence spending to WW2 levels!!!  How interesting!

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 Message 23 of 23 in Discussion 
From: MSN NicknameHayekian  Sent: 11/17/2008 1:14 AM
The "eye popping" 94% tax bracket applied to ordinary income over $200,000 in 1945 - equivalent to about $2.5 million in 2008 dollars.
 
 
It should be noted that FICA tax rates during WWII were 2% (1% individual, 1% employer) on a maximum $3000 income.  That income cap is equal to about $37,000 today - compared to $102,000 for 2008 and $106,800 for 2009.
 
The Medicare tax didn't exist.  Thus - combining the taxes, our current payroll tax burden is 15.3% of income compared to just 2% then.
 
The total combined tax on earnings over $32,550 in the United States is currently 25% on income, plus 15.3% FICA, for a total just over 40%.  This is equivalent to the 37% tax bracket in 1945, which started at $8,000.  That $8,000 in annual income is equal to $99,500 in 2008.
 
What does this mean?  For most people, the tax burden in WWII was less than it is today.  This can be seen in the Tax Foundation's publication:  Tax Freedom Day
 
Tax Freedom Day was April 4 in 1943, March 29 in 1944, and March 30 in 1945 - equivalent to effective overall tax rates of 25.7, 24, and 24.2% respectively, for an average 24.6%.  We've not seen such low tax rates again.
 
Taxes in 2006 through 2008 were 31.5, 31.7, and 30.8% respectively, for an average 31.3%.  This means Americans are currently paying greater than 27% higher taxes out of their income than they were in the war years of 1943 through 1945.

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