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Heavy Metal : STEC .. Earnings After Close...Today..27th
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 Message 1 of 3 in Discussion 
From: MSN NicknameBB__23  (Original Message)Sent: 4/27/2004 3:29 PM
STEC, a fast growing DRAM and flash memory
designer/manufacturer,
will release its quarterly earnings results on 4/27/04. I expect STEC
to post strong results which could sent it above $6 in a hurry. STEC
is gradually recovering from a 20% loss suffered recently after peer
SNDK tanked following its latest earnings report. SNDK lost ground
despite beating analysts revenue/income estimates because it warned
that flash-memory margins might get tighter.

This is the typical "guilty-by-association" syndrome. However, the
comparison with SNDK is totally unfair because: 1) SNDK was way
overvalued at the time of its earnings release with a P/S 3 times
higher than STEC; 2) The expectations for SNDK were too high whereas
the expectations for STEC's earnings are already too low; 3) flash
memory is a fraction of STEC's revenue since more and more of its
revenue and income is being derived from its DRAM and from its
stacking memory tecnologies.

All recent reports agree that DRAM prices are going up and will
continue to do so and so the margins derived from it. In fact, take a
look at RMTR which is a FRAM memory producer, it was Nasdaq's biggest
winner on Friday.

I am confident that STEC will deliver better-than expected results
and the stock will go up as it should. Ironically the shorts that
pressured the stock to lose 20% of its value after SNDK's results,
will help the stock go back up because they will have to cover.

The Street isued an article this week highlighting STEC as a stock
that might be near a breakout (scroll down on the page below):

http://www.thestreet.com/p/rmoney/danfitzp...10154695_2.html


MORE on STEC

STEC is a fast-growing profitable company, currently trading at a
major discount compared to its peers. STEC has $76.4 Million in cash
and cash equivalents... and NO long-term debt. The current market cap
is only $260 million. Insiders own over 50% of the 48 million O/S
shares.

STEC recently posted a profit on 19% Revenue Growth for 4Q2003
compared to 4Q 2002. Revenue growth in FY 2003 was 36% compared to
2002.

STEC's current guidance is for full-year 2004 revenues to increase by
25 % to 35 % from FY 2003 revenues of $221.8 million.... or about
$280 to 304 million in revenues for 2004.

The company expects that gross margins will increase from 2 to 4 % in
the second half of 2004 primarily through efficiencies gained in its
flash memory card manufacturing logistics.

Higher revenues and higher margins will most likely push net income
in Q3 and Q4 2004 to $0.05/share and above.

The company has guided for revenues ranging from $59 to $61 million
for Q1 2004.its seasonally weakest quarter. STEC will release its 1Q
earnings report this month.


OUTLOOK....


I expect the price of STEC to continue its upwards movement into
1Q2004 earnings release this month and beyond because for several
reasons:

1) Revenues of about $60 million for 1Q 2004 (per guidance) will be
about 33% higher than the $40 million posted in 1Q 2003.

2) Net income will likely be slightly positive compared to a loss of
$1.6 million last year aided in part by the upswing in DRAM prices.

3) Guidance for 2Q and the rest of 2004 will be terrific because the
CEO already said that he expects revenues and margins to start
ramping up during 2Q 2004.

4) 2nd half 2004 margings are expexted to increase because of higher
DRAM and stacked-memory memory card prices and improvements in STEC's
flash-card manufacturing logistics as discussed during the last CC.

5) More than half a million short shares that will need to cover.
STECs short position has increased substantially lately and is
partially responsible for the drop in PPS. Ironically, this will
accelerate price appreciation as shorts cover.

STEC designs, manufactures and markets custom and open-standard
memory and storage products based on Flash memory and DRAM
technologies. It also manufactures connectivity products that connect
memory cards and hard drive upgrade kits to personal computers (PCs).



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 Message 2 of 3 in Discussion 
From: MSN NicknameOkieTexan2Sent: 4/27/2004 3:41 PM
Its running BB, you own it?
PRNewswire
SimpleTech Announces Industry's Highest Capacity External Hard Drive; 400GB SimpleDrive High-Speed USB 2.0/FireWire Combo Hard Drive With StorageSync(TM) Automatic Backup S
March 15, 2004 07:57:00 AM ET

New Hard Drive to be Showcased at CeBIT 2004 in Hannover, Germany

SANTA ANA, Calif., March 15 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- SimpleTech, Inc. STEC, a designer, manufacturer and marketer of custom and open-standard memory solutions based on Flash memory and DRAM technologies, today announced the industry's highest capacity external hard drive -- a 400GB SimpleDrive Deluxe with a USB 2.0 & FireWire combination. The company also extended its SimpleDrive Deluxe product line with the addition of 120, 160, and 250GB capacities. SimpleTech is exhibiting at CeBIT (Hall 20/Stand E18), in Hannover, Germany, March 18-24, 2004.

SimpleDrive External Hard Drives are a cost-effective way to add storage to any Mac or PC desktop or notebook computer quickly and easily, and they are also ideal for backing up data. SimpleDrive External Hard Drives are also available with USB 2.0-only.

400GB SimpleDrive External Hard Drives provide enough capacity to store a combination of 6,500 hours of high quality digital music, 7,200 digital photos, 16 hours of digital video, 72 digital games and 120 software programs


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 Message 3 of 3 in Discussion 
From: MSN NicknameBB__23Sent: 4/27/2004 4:03 PM
No..... just doing a little research on some stocks that "might"  run...... came across this one and it looked like a stock that might do something..  of coarse it might have bad earnings and plunge...  who knows..