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BonaFidePolitics : Clinton/Obama....what now?
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From: Noserose  (Original Message)Sent: 4/23/2008 10:38 AM

Clinton/Obama....what now?

So Hillary pulled it off and with a 10 point margin that seems to give her credibility once again but does it give her new momentum? "Momentum" seems to be the holy grail these days by which all other things are judged. Both sides seek the momentum to carry them into the convention as the uncrowned King or Queen of the Dems. Momentum means money and Hillary's broke while Obama has a $42 million dollar cushion. Can Clinton start to raise the big bucks again or will she and Bill have to dip into their private hoard of hundreds of millions of dollars?

Obama seems to want to move on to fight McCain while Clinton is still breathing and ready to fight. Is he counting his chickens before they hatch?

Is the fact that Hillary can win the big states going to be a problem for Obama? Dems want the White House in November and that means beating McCain. They would prefer Obama but will take Clinton if necessary, especially if it seems that she has the best chance to beat the Republican nominee. Is this the albatross around Obama's neck?

Will they take the fight to the convention? Will Howard Dean broker a "deal"? If Clinton is the chosen one will Obama consent to be her Veep and bring about the so called Dem "perfect storm"??  Is this a new ball game once again? What's it all mean?

What do you think?

Rose

 



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From: NoseroseSent: 4/23/2008 11:09 AM

Here's some interesting stats from the Penn vote:

Obama fared better in the largest voting bloc by age, the 50-64 group. In Ohio, that group made up 32% of the electorate, and Clinton won it 60%-37%. This time, the group made up 36% of the electorate, and Clinton won it by a slighter margin, 56%-44%.

The electorate in Pennsylvania is older (second oldest in the country behind Florida). The +65 category was 23% of the vote vs. just 14% in Ohio. But Obama did better with this group in Pennsylvania (63%-37% for Clinton) than in Ohio (72%-26% for Clinton).

Education was another factor. Among those without a college degree, Clinton won 58%-42%, similar to her victory in Ohio, 58%-40%, but more voters in Pennsylvania reported having a college degree (47% vs. 32% in Ohio). And Obama won those voters 51%-49%, a similar margin to Ohio (51%-47%).

Obama also scraped around the margins with every racial demographic, but not enough to pull off the victory. Clinton won white women 66%-34% (47% of the electorate); she won that group 67%-31% in Ohio (44% of the electorate). With the overall white vote, Clinton won it 64%-34% in Ohio and 62%-38% in Pennsylvania. Among white men, Clinton won 58%-39% in Ohio and 56%-44% in Pennsylvania.

Among black voters (13% of the electorate; was 18% in Ohio), Obama won by similar margins in Pennsylvania (89%-11%) as in Ohio (87%-13%).

http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2008/04/22/934094.aspx