I have decided there is no way to know what is happening till it's over... then we'll all say "ah ha - that is what that show is about" - at least that is what I am hoping.
I am following the twists (although I am seriously lost on the Jacob character - I figure symbolically it must tie to Jacob's ladder or something like that) - although I love how far reaching Benjamin Linus' sinister side is... when he said he had one of his people on the rescuer's boat (if rescuing is what they do) I just about died!